12/26/2011 (11:43 am)
US stocks edge higher after N. Korean leader death
%3Cp%3EU.S.+stock+futures+rose+Monday%2C+even+as+news+of+North+Korea+ruler+Kim+Jong+Il%27s+death+rattled+Asia+and+European+markets.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EEuropean+markets+fell%2C+but+then+rebounded+as+investors+weighed+the+potential+consequences+of+Kim%27s+death.+Asian+indexes+closed+lower.+Analysts+warn+Kim%27s+death+could+cause+an+uncertain+power+transition+and+put+the+brakes+on+talks+aimed+at+getting+the+secretive+communist+state+to+give+up+its+nuclear+weapons.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EKim+Jong+Un%2C+the+supreme+leader%27s+untested+third+son+and+heir-apparent%2C+is+expected+to+want+to+consolidate+his+power+and+dispel+any+notions+of+weakness.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EDow+Jones+industrial+average+futures+are+up+51%2C+or+0.4+percent+at+11%2C829.+The+broader+Standard+%26amp%3B+Poor%27s+500+index+futures+are+up+7%2C+or+0.6+percent%2C+at+1%2C218.+Nasdaq+100+futures+are+up+13.25%2C+or+0.6+percent%2C+to+2246.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3E%22The+most+likely+scenario+for+regime+collapse+has+been+the+sudden+death+of+Kim+%28Jong+Il%29.+We+are+now+in+that+scenario%2C%22+said+Victor+Cha%2C+a+former+U.S.+National+Security+Council+director+for+Asian+affairs.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EBut+after+Asian+indexes+closed+lower%2C+European+stocks+recovered.+Germany%27s+DAX+rose+0.7+percent+to+5%2C741+and+Paris%27+CAC+40+index+rose+0.2+percent+to+2%2C979.+Britain%27s+FTSE+gained+0.3+percent+to+5%2C405.40.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EOvernight+South+Korea%27s+Kospi+index+dived+nearly+5+percent+but+later+recouped+some+losses+to+close+3.4+percent+lower+at+1%2C776.93.+The+Korean+won+also+fell%2C+losing+1.6+percent+against+the+U.S.+dollar%2C+a+traditional+haven+in+times+of+uncertainty.+The+Japanese+yen+and+other+regional+currencies+also+weakened+against+the+dollar.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EThe+euro+was+flat+around+%241.3030.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EKim%27s+death+overshadowed+what+already+was+a+gloomy+start+to+the+week+after+Fitch+warned+after+the+market+close+on+Friday+that+it+may+downgrade+the+credit+ratings+of+Italy+and+Spain%2C+as+well+as+Belgium%2C+Cyprus%2C+Ireland+and+Slovenia.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EEU+finance+ministers+will+later+Monday+discuss+how+much+money+their+countries+will+lend+to+the+International+Monetary+Fund+in+a+conference+call.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EThe+ministers+will+seek+to+decide+how+to+split+up+the+euro200+billion+%28%24261+billion%29+EU+leaders+promised+to+send+to+the+IMF+at+a+summit+10+days+ago.+The+money+is+meant+to+boost+the+eurozone%27s+firewall+against+the+escalating+debt+crisis.There+were+some+doubts+whether+the+EU+would+reach+the+euro200+billion+after+several+non-eurozone+countries+balked+at+having+to+support+the+currency+union.+The+ministers+will+also+discuss+in+their+conference+call+a+new+treaty+to+tighten+fiscal+discipline%2C+a+spokesman+for+the+Polish+delegation+to+the+European+said.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EOver+the+coming+days%2C+investors+will+remain+alert+to+developments+in+North+Korea%27s+power+transition.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EKim+Jong+Il%27s+death%2C+announced+Monday+by+North+Korean+state+television%2C+raises+the+specter+of+more+instability+on+the+divided+Korean+peninsula.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EThose+worries+are+most+acute+in+South+Korea+and+Japan%2C+which+have+often+been+the+targets+of+North+Korea%27s+mercurial+military+and+diplomatic+actions.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3E%22We%27re+seeing+deeper+negative+sentiment+in+some+markets%2C%22+said+Dariusz+Kowalczyk%2C+strategist+at+Credit+Agricole+CIB%2C+in+Hong+Kong.+%22Basically+this+is+because+risk+aversion+on+the+geopolitical+front+has+increased+given+that+there%27s+a+transition+of+power+in+a+relatively+unstable+country.+So+we%27re+seeing+an+impact+on+equities%2C+currencies.%22%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3ESouth+Korea%27s+military+and+police+went+on+alert+and+President+Lee+Myung-bak%2C+convened+a+national+security+council+meeting.+Japanese+leaders+said+they+were+watching+markets+closely+and+in+contact+with+the+U.S.%2C+Kyodo+News+Agency+reported.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EKim+was+ailing+after+suffering+what+is+thought+to+have+been+a+stroke+in+2008+and+died+at+age+69+on+Saturday.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3ENorth+Korea%27s+official+Korean+Central+News+Agency+identified+his+third+son%2C+the+twenty-something+Kim+Jong+Un%2C+as+the+%22great+successor%22+to+the+man+known+officially+as+the+%22Dear+Leader.%22%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EBut+even+with+the+younger+Kim+designated+as+his+father%27s+successor%2C+and+already+filling+high-ranking+posts%2C+some+experts+fear+a+behind-the-scenes+power+struggle+or+nuclear+instability.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EFitch+Ratings+said+it+did+not+view+Kim%27s+death+%22as+a+trigger+for+negative+action+on+South+Korea%27s+sovereign+ratings+in+itself.%22%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3E%22For+now%2C+it%27s+much+too+early+to+say+risks+have+materially+increased%2C+but+clearly+we+will+keep+the+situation+under+close+review%2C%22+said+Andrew+Colquhoun%2C+head+of+Fitch%27s+Asia-Pacific+sovereigns.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EMarkets+in+Taiwan%2C+Singapore%2C+Australia%2C+New+Zealand+and+Indonesia+also+sank+on+Monday.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EStill%2C+barring+unexpected+developments+in+Pyongyang+the+impact+of+Kim%27s+death+on+markets+is+likely+to+be+passing%2C+analysts+said.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3E%22In+the+short+term+there+will+be+some+psychological+uncertainty+but+I+think+things+will+go+back+to+the+fundamentals%2C%22+said+Steven+Leung%2C+director+of+institutional+sales+at+UOB-Kay+Hian+Ltd.+in+Hong+Kong.%3C%2Fp%3E+%09%3Cp%3EBenchmark+oil+for+January+delivery+was+up+51+cents+at+%2494.04+a+barrel+in+electronic+trading+on+the+New+York+Mercantile+Exchange.%3C%2Fp%3E+%3Cp%3E%3Ca+href%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.stltoday.com%2Fbusiness%2Fnational-and-international%2Fus-stocks-edge-higher-after-n-korean-leader-death%2Farticle_e55e0b52-5b48-5395-8e2e-959dfe5f3526.html%27+rel%3D%27nofollow%27%3ESource%3C%2Fa%3E%3C%2Fp%3E+