03/23/2012 (8:16 am)

Medicare rationing? An election-year House vote

Filed under: money, technology |

House Republicans resurrected the specter of Medicare rationing Thursday in an election-year vote to repeal cost controls in President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul.

In the GOP crosshairs is a board that has yet to be named but would be empowered to force cuts to drug companies, insurers and other service providers if Medicare spending balloons. A Republican plan announced this week, laying down a dividing line between the parties, also would limit Medicare cost increases, but it would rely on competition among private insurance plans.

GOP lawmakers are hoping their symbolic 223-181 vote on Thursday to repeal the Independent Payment Advisory Board will help persuade seniors that Republicans, not Democrats, are the best stewards of Medicare.

The bill is likely to hit a dead end in the Senate. House Republicans all but guaranteed that when they paired the board repeal with caps on medical malpractice awards, which most Democrats oppose. The White House has issued a veto threat.

If it all sounds like a debate among Washington insiders, Rep. Jack Kingston, R-Ga., says he will have no trouble explaining to constituents why he voted to repeal the cost-cutting board.

“Do you remember death panels?” said Kingston, referring to the debunked accusation by former GOP vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin that Obama’s health care law would allow the government to withhold life-saving care from the elderly.

“It’s not necessarily a death panel, but it is a rationing panel and rationing does lead to scarcity for some,” he added. “Who’s going to get the needed treatment, an 85-year-old or the 40-year-old with children?”

The health care law explicitly bars the board from rationing care, shifting costs to Medicare recipients or cutting their benefits. But critics say squeezing service providers will stifle medical innovation, achieving a similar result.

Many House Democrats also oppose the board _ dubbed IPAB for its initials _ but for different reasons. They feel it diminishes the role of Congress. But Republicans made it difficult to attract Democratic votes for repeal by adding other politically charged provisions to their bill.

“Republicans don’t want to see IPAB repealed now because they want to run against it,” said Scott Gottlieb, a former senior FDA official in the George W. Bush administration. “I think there will be an effort to repeal it after the election.”

The House vote came a day before the second anniversary of the health care law, and just ahead of next week’s Supreme Court deliberations on its constitutionality. Politics aside, the vote highlighted major differences between the parties on Medicare, the giant health care program for nearly 50 million seniors and disabled people.

All sides agree that Medicare as currently structured will not be able to pay its bills in the long run. The main options to control costs are unpalatable: tax increases, benefit cuts and cost shifts to middle- and upper-income retirees.

Most Republicans and Democrats also agree now that there has to be a limit on future Medicare increases payday loans no teletrack. The question is how.

Republicans would convert Medicare into a system dominated by private health insurance plans closely regulated by the government. Future retirees would get a fixed payment to buy either private coverage or sign up for a new government plan modeled on traditional Medicare. The plan counts on competition among the plans to help keep costs in check, but the annual government payment would also be limited by tying it to economic growth.

That’s the basic approach embodied in the new budget released this week by Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis., chairman of the House Budget Committee, and seconded by GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney.

Theoretically, such a system could help rein in Medicare cost increases, economists say. The question is whether it would be politically acceptable to seniors and future generations, with polls indicating that the public is resistant to major changes. Recognizing the sensitivity, Ryan’s plan would exempt anyone now 55 or older.

Obama and the Democrats would take a different approach to cost control, and that’s where the IPAB board comes in.

IPAB (pronounced EYE-pab) has the power to force payment cuts to service providers if costs rise beyond certain levels and Congress fails to substitute its own plan for savings. But the law explicitly forbids the board from rationing care, shifting costs to seniors, or cutting their benefits. The Democrats would put the burden on service providers, such as drug companies, insurers and eventually, hospitals.

Obama has yet to name anyone to the panel, whose 15 members would have to be confirmed by the Senate. Government economists are forecasting a period of manageable Medicare costs, meaning that IPAB’s services may not be needed until sometime around the end of the decade.

Democrats say they’d rather defend IPAB before older voters _ and attack the GOP’s Medicare overhaul.

“The rationing is in the Republican plan,” said Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., the ranking Democrat on the budget committee. “What they do is allow insurance companies to ration people’s health care.”

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said this week that both Obama’s health care law and the new Ryan plan could potentially create access-to-care problems for Medicare recipients. The CBO cautioned that those could turn out to be greater under the GOP approach, which would squeeze Medicare growth harder. Republicans say that won’t happen because competition among health plans will keep costs down by reducing waste.

The House bill is likely to hit a dead end in the Senate. The White House issued a veto threat against it earlier this week. House Republicans all but guaranteed that when they paired by IPAB repeal with caps on medical malpractice awards, which most Democrats oppose.

Source

03/21/2012 (6:16 pm)

US futures mixed ahead of housing data

Filed under: economics, mortgage |

Stock futures are mixed Wednesday after a rocky start to the week, with the latest housing report expected to show previously occupied home sales are reaching a clip not seen in two years.

Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 7 points to 13,115 and the broader Standard & Poor’s 500 futures rose 0.2 points to 1,400.2. But Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 1.25 points to 2,734.25.

Stocks closed lower Tuesday for only the second time in two weeks as China hinted at a slowdown.

European markets rallied early after a similar sell-off Tuesday as worries fade about the debt crisis, at least for now.

In Europe, Germany’s DAX rose 0.2 percent to 7,065 while the CAC-40 in France was 0.3 percent higher at 3,542. The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.1 percent at 5,897 ahead of the government’s annual budget.

Asian markets, however, remain unsettled by the latest signs of a slowdown in the Chinese economy.

The Nikkei 225 index in Japan, which counts China as its most important trading partner, fell 0.6 percent to 10,086.49, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng shed 0.2 percent to 20,856.63. China’s main Shanghai index recovered 0.1 percent to close to 2,378 paperless payday loans.20, having dropped sharply in the previous session.

U.S. traders appeared more optimistic 30 minutes before the opening bell and ahead of the latest housing data, which is expected a half hour after the market opens.

There has been some good news in each of the housing reports released during the first two days of the week, and more of the same is expected Wednesday.

The National Association of Realtors releases its report on February home re-sales, and economists expect that sales increased to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.6 million last month, according to a FactSet survey.

Shares of homebuilders rose in premarket trading. Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. rose 4 percent to $2.89. Lennar Corp., PulteGroup Inc., and KB Home rose as well.

The tech sector may get a boost after Oracle Corp. reported late Tuesday that sales of new software licenses accelerated in the third quarter, suggesting that the broader economy is healing. Oracle shares were up 2 percent at $30.70 in premarket trading.

Source

03/20/2012 (2:56 am)

Homebuilder Confidence in U.S. Holds at Highest Since 2007 - Bloomberg

Filed under: legal, management |

Confidence among U.S. homebuilders held in March at the highest level since June 2007 as sales expectations climbed for a sixth month.

The reading of 28 in the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builder confidence was less than projected and followed a February figure that was lower than initially reported, figures from the Washington-based group showed today. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News called for a rise to 30. Readings below 50 mean more respondents said conditions were poor.

Cheaper homes and mortgage rates close to all-time lows are helping drive record housing affordability, benefiting builders such as Toll Brothers Inc. At the same time, the real estate market remains challenged by distressed properties and the threat of more foreclosures that could push down values further.

03/18/2012 (11:00 am)

Think twice before questioning Dow

Filed under: legal, mortgage |

Last Tuesday the Dow Industrials popped firmly above 13,000, surpassing the peaks of mid-2011. Most remarkable is the stunning recovery of the Dow Industrials up 23.67 per cent from its 52-week low of 10,655 posted on Monday, Oct. 3, 2011.

Dow 13000 also means a 90 per cent retracement of the losses sustained during the great 2007-2008 financial crisis.

Quite a remarkable reward for the brave who elected to be invested, and quite a frustrating letdown for the bears who are still waiting for the double dip recession and the related test of the 2009 lows. The bears still argue that current stock prices are not sustainable because of the unresolved issues of the eurozone, the U.S. housing and employment problems and a slowing of the Chinese economy.

Now according to the financial media it appears even bullish investors are beginning to question the ability of the Dow and most of the world bourses to hold at these lofty levels. Should they listen to the bears and cash in, or should they remain fully invested?

The latest worry served up by the bears is the failure of the Dow Transportation average to

03/10/2012 (8:20 am)

U.S. Local Governments Show First Payroll Boost Since August; States Slip - Bloomberg

Filed under: business, uk |

U.S. local-government payrolls increased last month for the first time since August, easing the drag on the economy brought on by budget-cutting cities, counties and school districts.

The U.S. Labor Department reported today that local- government employment, adjusted for seasonal swings in hiring, expanded by 2,000 in February as school districts boosted hiring. State payrolls slipped by 1,000 after rising by 11,000 in January.

Jim Diffley, an economist with IHS Inc. who tracks regional growth, said it

03/08/2012 (5:52 pm)

New iPad: A Jobsian upgrade, not Apple

Filed under: money, technology |

Now that we know everything there is to know about The New iPad and are busily making plans to camp out overnight when it first hits stores, it

03/07/2012 (2:56 am)

Congress Election Rout in India Risks Economy as Rahul Gandhi Flops Again - Bloomberg

Filed under: management, marketing |

India

03/05/2012 (11:36 am)

Payrolls to Rise Again: U.S. Economy Preview - Bloomberg

Filed under: finance, online |

Employers probably added more than 200,000 workers for a third straight month in February amid optimism about the U.S. expansion, economists said before a report this week.

Payrolls increased by 210,000 last month after rising 243,000 in January, the most in nine months, and 203,000 at the end of 2011, according to the median projection of 55 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. It would mark the strongest three- month stretch in almost a year. The jobless rate probably held at an almost three-year low of 8.3 percent.

Bigger employment and wage gains would go further in bolstering household spending, which accounts for about 70 percent of the economy and is threatened by higher fuel costs. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last week that while the labor market is making progress restoring the 8.7 million jobs lost as a result of the recession, it

02/27/2012 (11:47 pm)

Stocks end mixed near 2008 highs

Filed under: management, uk |

U.S. stocks ended mixed Friday, with the Dow and S&P holding near their highest levels since 2008, as investors digested reports on consumer sentiment and home sales.

After climbing above 13,000 earlier in the day, the Dow Jones industrial average () eased 4 points, or less than 0.1%, to end at 12,983. The Dow last closed above 13,000 in January 2008.

While the Dow at 13,000 is not technically significant, it is a psychological milestone, said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research. Since the start of February, the Dow has been trading at its highest level in nearly four years.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 () edged up 2 points, or 0.2%, to 1,366. Earlier, the index rose to 1,369, the highest point since June 2008.

The Nasdaq composite (), which gained 7 points, or 0.2%, has also been at its highest level since December 2000.

For the week, all three indexes posted gains of less than 0.5%.

In the oil market, crude futures rose above $109 a barrel amid concerns about increased tensions between Iran and Western powers.

The Fed can’t fix housing

The recent rise in oil prices has translated into higher gas prices, with the national average climbing 12 cents this week.

U.S. stocks closed higher Thursday, despite looming worries about the Greek debt crisis, boosted by a strong report on Germany’s economy and a decent reading on U.S. unemployment.

Economy: While a reading on consumer confidence came in better than expected, investors’ enthusiasm was a bit dampened by a decline in new-home sales — another sign that the housing market remains troubled.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for February rose to 75.3, topping expectations of 73.

"Confidence has been slowly but surely coming back, and you’re seeing a reflection of that in the equity markets," Detrick said. "Just four month ago, people were talking about the chances for a double-dip recession, but that’s clearly not the case anymore."

While the housing market continues to recover at a "two steps forward, one step back" pace, it’s also headed in the right direction, said Detrick.

Companies: J.C. Penney (, Fortune 500) shares slipped after the department store chain beat earnings estimates, but fell short of sales expectations for the fourth quarter payday loans.

Shares of AIG (, Fortune 500) jumped after the company said late Thursday that its fourth-quarter profit surged to $19.8 billion, thanks to an accounting change.

Salesforce.com’s () stock also popped after the company topped earnings and sales expectations late Thursday, as customer billings surged 57% during the quarter — a sign of robust future sales growth.

Gap’s (, Fortune 500) stock fell after the retailer missed earnings and sales expectations for the fourth quarter. Gap also announced a $1 billion share buyback program and an 11% boost to its annual dividend.

Shares of Crocs () tumbled after the shoemaker issued a downbeat outlook for the first quarter of 2012.

Gingrich’s $2.50 gas promise

Citigroup (, Fortune 500) sold its stake in Mumbai-based Housing Development Finance Corporation. Citigroup said the sale should result in a pre-tax gain of $1.1 billion, and an after-tax gain of approximately $722 million.

Bank of America (, Fortune 500) announced plans late Thursday to freeze pension plans, effective in July, and increase its 401(k) contributions instead.

World markets: European stocks closed mixed. Britain’s FTSE 100 () edged slightly lower, while the DAX () in Germany rose 0.8% and France’s CAC 40 () added 0.6%.

Asian markets ended with solid gains. The Shanghai Composite () closed up 1.3%, the Hang Seng () in Hong Kong rose 0.1% and Japan’s Nikkei () gained 0.5%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro and the British pound, but rose versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for April delivery rose $1.94 to settle at $109.77 a barrel. Oil last traded above this price on May 3, 2008.

Check gas prices in your state

The price of regular unleaded gasoline jumped 3.5 cents overnight to $3.647 a gallon, according to motorist group AAA.

Gold futures for April delivery fell $9.90 to end at $1,776.40 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose slightly, with the yield holding steady around 1.98%.  

Source

02/24/2012 (6:24 pm)

Gas prices appear set for record highs by May

Filed under: money, real estate |

By May, gas prices in the GTA could ratchet up by anywhere from 5 cents to 20 cents per litre.

Prices at the pump have already climbed by about 7 cents to 128.7 cents per litre in the last month. And while it is normal for gas prices to climb in the spring as motorists drive more and refineries close for maintenance, there are more factors at play this year.

How high can the prices get?

Jason Toews, co-founder of Gasbuddy.com sees prices reaching 150 cents to 155 cents per litre by May. Last year gas prices reached a high of 140.6 cents.

Petroleum analyst Robert McKnight says prices will reach between 143 cents to 147 cents a litre by April. That is a 12 to 15 per cent increase from the pump price you see today, he said.

Michael Ervin, vice-president of Calgary-based Kent Group, has a more conservative prediction of 4 cent to 7 cent per litre increase

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